Investor Notes

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Everyone's Still Talking About Rate Cuts. Wall Street Quietly Changed the Conversation.

Jul 27, 2026

Everyone's Still Talking About Rate Cuts. Wall Street Quietly Changed the Conversation.

For most of this year, the question about the Fed wasn't if it would cut rates. It was how many times. In less than two weeks, Wall Street started pricing the exact opposite.

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AI Profits Are Real. So Is the Assumption Behind Them.

Jul 24, 2026

AI Profits Are Real. So Is the Assumption Behind Them.

Alphabet's cloud margins just jumped from 21% to 35% in a single year. Everyone's talking about that number. The assumption sitting underneath it rarely makes the headline.

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There Are Two Consumers. The Market Is Only Watching One.

Jul 21, 2026

There Are Two Consumers. The Market Is Only Watching One.

If the strength behind consumer spending is more concentrated than it looks, that changes how you should read earnings guidance, margins, and revenue durability across the names most exposed to the consumer.

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Three Assumptions the Market Has Been Betting On. This Week Tests All of Them

Jul 20, 2026

Three Assumptions the Market Has Been Betting On. This Week Tests All of Them

Alphabet, Tesla, Intel, oil near $82, and an ECB decision all land in the same five days. Here's what they're actually testing.

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The Market Fell Today. Most of it Didn't

Jul 17, 2026

The Market Fell Today. Most of it Didn't

The S&P 500 dropped. Eight of its eleven sectors went up. Both of those things are true.

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AI Spending Alone Isn't Enough Anymore

Jul 16, 2026

AI Spending Alone Isn't Enough Anymore

AI spending keeps climbing. So why did the market suddenly get nervous?

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